Blog /
Taking the Pulse of Canadian Business: 5 of the Most Interesting Things We Learned This Quarter
Taking the Pulse of Canadian Business: 5 of the Most Interesting Things We Learned This Quarter
This quarter鈥檚 good news: the Bank of Canada is increasingly winning the war against inflation.
Each quarter, the releases the , which takes the pulse of businesses across the country.
This quarter鈥檚 good news: the Bank of Canada is increasingly winning the war against inflation, as we saw . Canada鈥檚 economy is still growing at a moderate pace, and despite a slowdown in hiring, businesses expect a 鈥渟oft landing鈥 for the labour market, with employment growing modestly over the next three months.
Here are five of the most interesting findings from the latest edition of the CSBC report:
Business optimism highest it鈥檚 been in three years
Over 76% of businesses feel very or somewhat optimistic about the next 12 months. This is the third consecutive quarter that long-term business outlook has improved and it鈥檚 the best showing for the year-ahead question in almost three years.
Housing affordability is impacting business sentiment
Business sentiment is weakest in British Columbia and Ontario. In Vancouver and Greater Toronto especially, high housing prices and associated debt levels, along with impending mortgage renewals, are curbing consumer spending. In Quebec and Atlantic Canada, where housing affordability challenges aren鈥檛 as great, businesses are more optimistic.
Fewer businesses are expecting to raise selling prices
In the context of the Bank of Canada鈥檚 2% inflation target finally being achieved in August, we鈥檙e seeing firms鈥 pricing behaviour normalize. On net, only 12% of businesses expect to raise their selling prices in the next three months, which is a noticeable 5% drop from last quarter. We鈥檝e now returned to a level that鈥檚 consistent with the inflation target.
Supply chains are a wildcard
Last year saw the most days lost to labour disputes since 1986! There is growing percentage of Canadian exporters (39%) that expect supply chain obstacles over the next three months. Among businesses affected by these obstacles, over 40% think supply chain issues have worsened, with businesses citing delayed deliveries, higher prices and supply shortages.
Labour market is almost at pre-pandemic balance
While businesses are still reporting labour challenges (recruiting, shortage of candidates, trouble retaining skilled employees), the percentage of businesses expecting labour obstacles in the next three months has decreased since this time last year. The industries of accommodation and food services, manufacturing, retail trade, and construction have the greatest percentage of businesses expecting short-term labour challenges, whereas information and culture, real estate, transportation and warehousing have the lowest percentage.
For all this quarter鈥檚 findings on business conditions, .